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The second Trump presidency seems to mark a decisive break with the value-based, liberal order that has shaped global politics since World War II. Emphasizing a more transactional approach to foreign policy—favoring deals over traditional diplomacy—Donald Trump’s return to the White House might create far-reaching consequences for our Western alliances, as well as for global governance, security, trade, and multilateral cooperation.
This shift challenges the norms and institutions that have long underpinned international collaboration, raising fundamental questions about the future of U.S. leadership on the world stage. What does this mean for Europe, NATO, and the balance of power in regions from the Indo-Pacific to the Middle East? Join 1014 and the American Council on Germany for a timely discussion with Dr. Stefan Mair, Director of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, and Heather Conley, U.S. National Security Executive and former President of the German Marshall Fund, on how the world might navigate a new era of international realignment.
Biography
Dr. Stefan Mair is an expert in foreign and security policy with a particular focus on the challenges facing Germany and the European Union. His work centers on geopolitical and geoeconomic dynamics, as well as trade and foreign economic policy. He brings over three decades of experience in both policy research and industry representation. Since October 1, 2020, he has served as Director of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP) and as Executive Chairman of the Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik. In this capacity, he leads one of Europe’s foremost think tanks dedicated to international relations and security, overseeing its strategic direction, institutional operations, and engagement with national and international decision-makers.
From 2010 to 2020, he was a member of the Executive Board of the Federation of German Industries (BDI), where he was responsible for shaping the organization’s approach to international economic and trade policy. During this time, he played a key role in representing the interests of German industry in both European and global forums. Previously, from 2007 to 2009, he served as Research Director at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP), guiding the institute’s analytical work across multiple policy fields. His earlier tenure at SWP, spanning from 1992 to 2007 and again from 2009 to 2010, included roles as head of the Middle East and Africa Research Division (until March 2001) and as a member of the executive board (2001–2007 and 2009–2010).
He earned his doctorate (Dr. rer. pol.) in 1992 from Ludwig-Maximilians-University in Munich. From 1989 to 1992, he was a PhD scholarship holder at the ifo Institute for Economic Research in Munich, where he conducted research in the Developing Countries Department, focusing on economic development and international trade. He is widely recognized for his contributions to foreign and security policy analysis and has authored numerous publications and policy papers throughout his career. His interdisciplinary expertise and leadership experience make him a prominent voice in European policy discourse.
Heather Conley is a senior advisor to Evenflow Macro, having previously served as the sixth president of the German Marshall Fund of the United States. Prior to this, Ms. Conley served as senior vice president for Europe, Russia, and Eurasia at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). She is a recognized expert on Europe, Russia and the Arctic region, as well as NATO and EU issues, the conflict in Ukraine, and Sino-Russian cooperation. From 2001-2005, Ms. Conley served as deputy assistant secretary of state in the Bureau of European and Eurasian Affairs with responsibilities for U.S. bilateral relations with Northern and Central Europe. Ms. Conley began her career at the U.S. Department of State in the Bureau of Political-Military Affairs and served as special assistant to the coordinator of U.S. assistance to Russia and the post-Soviet space. She then went on to serve as a senior associate at the international consulting firm led by former U.S. deputy secretary of state Richard L. Armitage. Ms. Conley received her B.A. in international studies from West Virginia Wesleyan College and her M.A. in international relations from the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS).
The second Trump presidency seems to mark a decisive break with the value-based, liberal order that has shaped global politics since World War II. Emphasizing a more transactional approach to foreign policy—favoring deals over traditional diplomacy—Donald Trump’s return to the White House might create far-reaching consequences for our Western alliances, as well as for global governance, security, trade, and multilateral cooperation.
This shift challenges the norms and institutions that have long underpinned international collaboration, raising fundamental questions about the future of U.S. leadership on the world stage. What does this mean for Europe, NATO, and the balance of power in regions from the Indo-Pacific to the Middle East? Join 1014 and the American Council on Germany for a timely discussion with Dr. Stefan Mair, Director of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, and Heather Conley, U.S. National Security Executive and former President of the German Marshall Fund, on how the world might navigate a new era of international realignment.
Biography
Dr. Stefan Mair is an expert in foreign and security policy with a particular focus on the challenges facing Germany and the European Union. His work centers on geopolitical and geoeconomic dynamics, as well as trade and foreign economic policy. He brings over three decades of experience in both policy research and industry representation. Since October 1, 2020, he has served as Director of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP) and as Executive Chairman of the Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik. In this capacity, he leads one of Europe’s foremost think tanks dedicated to international relations and security, overseeing its strategic direction, institutional operations, and engagement with national and international decision-makers.
From 2010 to 2020, he was a member of the Executive Board of the Federation of German Industries (BDI), where he was responsible for shaping the organization’s approach to international economic and trade policy. During this time, he played a key role in representing the interests of German industry in both European and global forums. Previously, from 2007 to 2009, he served as Research Director at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP), guiding the institute’s analytical work across multiple policy fields. His earlier tenure at SWP, spanning from 1992 to 2007 and again from 2009 to 2010, included roles as head of the Middle East and Africa Research Division (until March 2001) and as a member of the executive board (2001–2007 and 2009–2010).
He earned his doctorate (Dr. rer. pol.) in 1992 from Ludwig-Maximilians-University in Munich. From 1989 to 1992, he was a PhD scholarship holder at the ifo Institute for Economic Research in Munich, where he conducted research in the Developing Countries Department, focusing on economic development and international trade. He is widely recognized for his contributions to foreign and security policy analysis and has authored numerous publications and policy papers throughout his career. His interdisciplinary expertise and leadership experience make him a prominent voice in European policy discourse.
Heather Conley is a senior advisor to Evenflow Macro, having previously served as the sixth president of the German Marshall Fund of the United States. Prior to this, Ms. Conley served as senior vice president for Europe, Russia, and Eurasia at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). She is a recognized expert on Europe, Russia and the Arctic region, as well as NATO and EU issues, the conflict in Ukraine, and Sino-Russian cooperation. From 2001-2005, Ms. Conley served as deputy assistant secretary of state in the Bureau of European and Eurasian Affairs with responsibilities for U.S. bilateral relations with Northern and Central Europe. Ms. Conley began her career at the U.S. Department of State in the Bureau of Political-Military Affairs and served as special assistant to the coordinator of U.S. assistance to Russia and the post-Soviet space. She then went on to serve as a senior associate at the international consulting firm led by former U.S. deputy secretary of state Richard L. Armitage. Ms. Conley received her B.A. in international studies from West Virginia Wesleyan College and her M.A. in international relations from the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS).
The second Trump presidency seems to mark a decisive break with the value-based, liberal order that has shaped global politics since World War II. Emphasizing a more transactional approach to foreign policy—favoring deals over traditional diplomacy—Donald Trump’s return to the White House might create far-reaching consequences for our Western alliances, as well as for global governance, security, trade, and multilateral cooperation.
This shift challenges the norms and institutions that have long underpinned international collaboration, raising fundamental questions about the future of U.S. leadership on the world stage. What does this mean for Europe, NATO, and the balance of power in regions from the Indo-Pacific to the Middle East? Join 1014 and the American Council on Germany for a timely discussion with Dr. Stefan Mair, Director of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, and Heather Conley, U.S. National Security Executive and former President of the German Marshall Fund, on how the world might navigate a new era of international realignment.
Biography
Dr. Stefan Mair is an expert in foreign and security policy with a particular focus on the challenges facing Germany and the European Union. His work centers on geopolitical and geoeconomic dynamics, as well as trade and foreign economic policy. He brings over three decades of experience in both policy research and industry representation. Since October 1, 2020, he has served as Director of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP) and as Executive Chairman of the Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik. In this capacity, he leads one of Europe’s foremost think tanks dedicated to international relations and security, overseeing its strategic direction, institutional operations, and engagement with national and international decision-makers.
From 2010 to 2020, he was a member of the Executive Board of the Federation of German Industries (BDI), where he was responsible for shaping the organization’s approach to international economic and trade policy. During this time, he played a key role in representing the interests of German industry in both European and global forums. Previously, from 2007 to 2009, he served as Research Director at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP), guiding the institute’s analytical work across multiple policy fields. His earlier tenure at SWP, spanning from 1992 to 2007 and again from 2009 to 2010, included roles as head of the Middle East and Africa Research Division (until March 2001) and as a member of the executive board (2001–2007 and 2009–2010).
He earned his doctorate (Dr. rer. pol.) in 1992 from Ludwig-Maximilians-University in Munich. From 1989 to 1992, he was a PhD scholarship holder at the ifo Institute for Economic Research in Munich, where he conducted research in the Developing Countries Department, focusing on economic development and international trade. He is widely recognized for his contributions to foreign and security policy analysis and has authored numerous publications and policy papers throughout his career. His interdisciplinary expertise and leadership experience make him a prominent voice in European policy discourse.
Heather Conley is a senior advisor to Evenflow Macro, having previously served as the sixth president of the German Marshall Fund of the United States. Prior to this, Ms. Conley served as senior vice president for Europe, Russia, and Eurasia at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). She is a recognized expert on Europe, Russia and the Arctic region, as well as NATO and EU issues, the conflict in Ukraine, and Sino-Russian cooperation. From 2001-2005, Ms. Conley served as deputy assistant secretary of state in the Bureau of European and Eurasian Affairs with responsibilities for U.S. bilateral relations with Northern and Central Europe. Ms. Conley began her career at the U.S. Department of State in the Bureau of Political-Military Affairs and served as special assistant to the coordinator of U.S. assistance to Russia and the post-Soviet space. She then went on to serve as a senior associate at the international consulting firm led by former U.S. deputy secretary of state Richard L. Armitage. Ms. Conley received her B.A. in international studies from West Virginia Wesleyan College and her M.A. in international relations from the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS).
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